The venerable regional organization, Pacific Northwest Utilities Conference Committee, has published its forecast of regional loads and forecasts for the 2017 through 2026 period. The report provides a 10 year forward look at anticipated regional electric loads and resources compiled based on input from a majority of the Northwest utilities. This report confirms load trends consistent with that documented in the Power Council’s 7th Power Plan. In aggregate, this report forecasts regional load growth (net of energy efficiency) to be .7% annually with significant variation in that figure by individual utility. Page 16 of this report provides the PNUCC forecast for energy efficiency over the 10 year period along with the contributions from demand response.
With fresh batteries in the calculator, note that the decline in energy efficiency acquisition over the 10 year period is 35%, while an increase in demand response (winter) over that same time period is 188%. Demand response actually exceeds energy efficiency by 2019-2020.